Just a few days ago it seemed that the Oscars were decided, but the victory of «Birdman»In the SAG, the PGA and the DGA changes everything.
Everything pointed to "Boyhood" as a big favorite at the Academy Awards just before the main guilds were pronounced, but now his chances have been reduced in favor of the film of Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu.
The defeat of Richard Linklater At the Actors Guild Awards it was to be expected, even not getting the approval of the producers, he entered the pools, but his defeat in the DGA greatly reduces his options for the main Oscars.
We are not going to say that it still cannot win the Oscar for best picture, but without a doubt "Birdman" is now the big favorite and the statistics are very in its favor.
In the 20 years that these three awards have been awarded, up to seven films have achieved the SAG, PGA and DGA and six of them later won the Oscar for best film, to find the only film that did not win the Academy Award in the queen category after winning these three important awards. We have to go back to 1995, when «Apollo 13 »He was left without the statuette despite winning these three awards in the first edition in which they all existed.
That year "Braveheart" got the Oscar for best film without having previously managed to be awarded by any of the three great guilds, if "B»Wants to win the Oscar for best film, he will have to repeat the feat.
All this happens in the category of best film, while in the category of best documentary wins the great Oscar favorite «Citizenfour"To Laura Poitras, which seems to have no rival by staying out of the nominations of the Academy "Life Itself", although with this category in the Oscars you never know since it is difficult for them to award such vindictive documentaries, for the moment it adds a new award, the DGA .